As Election Nears, Kentucky Governor's Race Still a Toss-Up

Oct 13, 2015

Democratic nominee for Kentucky governor Jack Conway (left) and Republican nominee Matt Bevin

As Kentucky’s gubernatorial campaign enters the final three weeks before the election, the latest poll shows Democrat Jack Conway with a very slim lead over Republican Matt Bevin. 

Statewide, 43% of likely voters support Conway while 41% back Bevin.  Six percent favor Independent Drew Curtis and ten percent are undecided.  Conway’s 2 point lead over Bevin is well within the survey’s margin of error of plus-or-minus four percentage points.

The survey, conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research, shows Conway has slightly better positive name recognition.  However, Bevin is getting a stronger party cross-over vote, which is crucial for a GOP candidate to win statewide in Kentucky.  Democrats outnumber Republicans among registered voters by more than 430,000. 

The poll was taken October 6-8 and questioned 625 registered Kentucky voters by phone.